Proposed Modifications to the Thanet Local Plan

Document Section Main Modifications Chapter 3 - Housing strategy MM/025 MM/025 [View all comments on this section]
Comment ID 262
Respondent Gary Fowler [View all comments by this respondent]
Response Date 27 Jan 2020

The whole basis of the calculations for the local plan allocation of houses for Thanet is fundamentally flawed as the calculation is based on the expected immigration levels with our continued membership of the European Union. Now we are scheduled to leave on the 31st January 2020 the ONS should recalculate the numbers on which the local plan is based, this means any allocation done for Kent and THanet local plan is now completely inaccurate as the
total should be lower as shown by the stats below EU immigration fell after the 2016 referendum EU immigration rose sharply in the years leading up to the EU referendum in June 2016, but declined since 2016 —a pattern supported by both the National Insurance Number (NINo) allocation data (Figure 6) and ONS data on longterm migration flows.

In 2018, 419,000 NINos were allocated to EU nationals, down 34% from 2015. Long-term arrivals of EU citizens planning to spend at least 12 months in the country fell by 25% over the same period, reaching 202,000 in 2018. Because estimated emigration of EU nationals also increased, EU net migration fell more sharply – by 59% to 75,000 in 2018. (See the Migration Observatory briefing, Net migration in the UK for more detailed data.) On this basis the local plan should be scrapped and recalculated on the expected immigration based on the new arrangements that the government intend to put into place and the decreased migration from the European Union 

It is completely unacceptable to base the local plan on such inaccurate basic information when the fundemental
circumstances have significantly changed.